If you were alive last year, you probably remeber the Occupy
Wallstreet movement. Although the movement never had a clear set of demands,
one thing was clear, people were (and still are) very angry about the
distribution of wealth in the country. Clearly
this blog is not about debating social issues or political groups. People tend
to have very strong opinions about Occupy, and I don’t really want to change
anybody’s mind. I do however, want to bring up one aspect of the movement that
I think has been completely overlooked and is well aligned with the blog’s
purpose. The extremely uneven wealth distribution of the United States hampers
technological development, especially disruptive development.
For reference, lets review how the system should work. In the
VC dominated arrangement we currently have there are 3 players: the
entrepreneurs, the venture capitalists, and the limited partners. In this
system the limited partners bring the money, the entrepreneurs bring the ideas,
and the venture capitalists bring the… talking. There is an inherent balance
between the number of entrepreneurs and limited partners (and the VCs by which
they communicate) as the system requires both ideas and capital which neither
party is capable of providing on their own.
The current extreme inequality in our nations wealth has a
direct impact here. Not because there are too many LPs or because the
entrepreneurs are too poor, but because the entrepreneurs and their ideas are
MIA. The inequality in the system forces would be entrepreneurs into jobs where
there would be ideas are smothered by the status quo. There are many financial
instruments in our society that are forcing this to occur and all are basically
derivatives of our uneven wealth distribution. But I want to focus on one that
especially influences disruptive technology development: student loans.
When you think about an entrepreneur with a disruptive idea,
you probably imagine someone young and relatively poor working in his or her
garage. This image is a stereotype, but is not too far from the truth. The fact
is, most disruptive ideas come from young people with middle-income families.
It used to be that as a young person from a middle-income
family you could work during the summer and pay for about 60% of a college
education. Now however, working year round will only pay for about 25% of the
same education. This is one of the main drivers of the herculean rise in
student dept in our country. Now most students leave college with several
thousand dollars of debt that is payed off over 10-30 years.
Lets use a more specific example. To get an engineering
degree these days takes around 200k without any type of financial aide. Lets
say that you go to a school with a good endowment and get 50% of the cost
covered. Considering your family might be able to help out and you earn some
money while there, you leave with 60k in debt. With those values looming over
your head you get the first job you can working at a large firm with a lot of
engineers where you get a fine paycheck and over the course of 10 years you pay
off the debt. This is more or less the stand-in argument to justify why student
debt is “OK”.
The problem is that the 10-20 year period after graduation
is the period when you are most likely to have a disruptive idea. It’s the
period when you are most likely to see the world from a different perspective
than the status-quo and really create impactive change. During those years you
were creatively held captive by your debt and your need to make payments.
Continued employment by “the major players” in a technological area is easily
the most effective way to dampen disruptive ideas.
So while the wealth distribution in our country is giving
LPs and VCs more wealth to bring to the table it is, overall, still hurting
disruptive innovation. It takes the people most likely to produce the best
ideas and locks them away in traditional jobs until their once novel
perspective has been re-aligned to the status quo. If nothing else, this is a
reason to address the wealth distribution issues in our country. It should also
be an argument VCs can use over drinks at cocktail parties for supporting the
Occupy movement, because in the end, those hippies are going to be the ones to think up the iPhone.
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